"In ten years ..."

When I see and article premised on a prediction of the future, I skip it. Why? Because as stupid as I am I have figured out that those who say they know what will happen are substituting the pretense of knowledge to calm their need for certainty.

The future is not known, nor knowable. I will not pretend to indulge the predictors. I also censor my own need to know what will happen and instead decide "if a happens, I will take action plan b, and if c happens, I will ..."

Once this choice is made, it is amazing how many BS article one can ignore. Once this observation of the unknowable nature of the future is accepted, it's amazing how worried we get over literally nothing. Said another way, it is human nature and just plain stupid to worry about predictions.

The boogeyman is mine now ...

Declare, 'We’ve got ten years to save the planet,' and you never have to recant.

It is a founding principle of Boogeyman alarmism that it be couched in vague terms. Only a novice at scaremongering would tell a little brother, “Give me your candy or the Boogeyman will come and sew your eyelids closed Thursday night at 6:07 p.m. Central Time.” Boogeyman leverage relies heavily on uncertainty. All predictions of Boogeyman activity must be non-falsifiable. Just say, “The Boogeyman will get you” and leave it at that.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/01/beware-the-boogeyman-alarm/

QS, you were trying to kill me. Hasta la vista, baby ...

It wasn't personal, he just wanted some of us, any of us over there in Iraq, to expire. Any dead american would have been a good american to him. He made sure the bombers had very potent IEDs. Well, I'm still here you son of an asshat, and you are fucking pieces and embers.

For all the current furor over the death of Qasem Soleimani, it is Iran, not the U.S. and the Trump administration, that is in a dilemma. Given the death and destruction wrought by Soleimani, and his agendas to come, he will not be missed.

Tehran has misjudged the U.S. administration’s doctrine of strategic realism rather than vice versa. The theocracy apparently calculated that prior U.S. patience and restraint in the face of its aggression was proof of an unwillingness or inability to respond. More likely, the administration was earlier prepping for a possible more dramatic, deadly, and politically justifiable response when and if Iran soon overreached.

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/iranian-analytics/