Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Tough Minded Thinking about COVID

In March, Florida was projected to be the second-worst state for COVID-19 deaths, with predictions of 174 per day and a total of nearly 7,000 by the end of the summer.  Nothing like this has transpired and it will not come to pass.   
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/coronavirus-response-florida-new-york-results-compare-william-bennett-seth-leibsohn

As I write this (April 25, 2020), 53,000-plus Americans have died from COVID-19. One could argue whether coding errors have overstated deaths due to COVID-19 infection; others have made that argument; I won’t. Rather, I’d like to call your attention to another COVID-19 statistic missing in action. I’ve not seen it discussed anywhere. It is based on simple facts and actuarial tables. Call it … living days stolen by COVID-19. Do you know the number? I don’t. This is an extraordinary gap in our COVID-19 knowledge and damage calculations. Lack of analysis regarding the most essential unit of human currency — living days — has tilted public policy toward an economically ruinous lockdown.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/richkarlgaard/2020/04/25/living-days-stolen--a-smarter-way-to-measure-covid-19-deaths/#2a6e13246184



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